TiresiasProject · Polymarket wallet 0x639d…6e81

Wallet snapshot

TiresiasProject has made 49 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $601 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 100%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No · $35 · 90¢ → 79¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No · $20 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31?No · $20 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $20 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No · $11 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $10 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · +$0 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
• US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.