Geopolitics80 days left

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$254.9K
2,108 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 759 traders

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs36 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$2+1 new NO$123
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.7K is directional: YES $529·NO $8.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026