oajd · Polymarket wallet 0x53f8…f6cc

Wallet snapshot

oajd has made 213 trades on Polymarket across 114 markets, $6,564 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and politics (25%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 79.5%, lifetime P&L -$12. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Sep 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $6 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $4 · 95¢ → 92¢
• Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 90¢ → 90¢
• Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 95¢ → 87¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $2 · 84¢ → 98¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $1 · 89¢ → 99¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $1 · 58¢ → 63¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1 · 87¢ → 84¢
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 89¢ → 72¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$1 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 16, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 16, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$0 · Aug 29, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 29, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

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