Barboncino · Polymarket wallet 0x5039…946d

Wallet snapshot

Barboncino has made 3,597 trades on Polymarket across 545 markets, $557K in volume. Most of it is in politics (46%) and geopolitics (22%). On 503 resolved markets the win rate is 55.7%, lifetime P&L -$2,692. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No · $5,580 · 34¢ → 93¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $5,125 · 56¢ → 51¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $5,084 · 38¢ → 85¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $4,517 · 68¢ → 70¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $2,213 · 20¢ → 15¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $1,521 · 80¢ → 92¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · $545 · 6¢ → 6¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $521 · 56¢ → 88¢
• Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No · $278 · 75¢ → 85¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes · $108 · 15¢ → 17¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes · +$746 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" in September?No · +$176 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$324 · Oct 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes · +$1,560 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$1,245 · Sep 16, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes · +$825 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

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