Gemini456 · Polymarket wallet 0x49ae…f3ba

Wallet snapshot

Gemini456 has made 5,253 trades on Polymarket across 433 markets, $1.4M in volume. Most of it is in economics (24%) and geopolitics (21%). On 416 resolved markets the win rate is 73.1%, lifetime P&L +$14K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $2,179 · 89¢ → 88¢
• Plague pandemic in 2026?No · $158 · 93¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · -$964 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No · +$387 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$166 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?No · +$14 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No · +$55 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No · -$22 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes · +$20 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No · +$37 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026No · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026

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