Resolved49 days left
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$36.8K
902 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 218 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs56 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$35 of $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $168·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$955
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$820(-85.8%)
Whales
24
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·378.3 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-373
$-373INV $373 · WR 55.3%
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥈
Entry 27¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-273
$-273INV $273 · WR 62.0%
A
aszdxfcgvhgkjhlkjawtseyrdfjkmnybtrv🥉
Entry 4¢·979.7 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $42 · WR 78.6%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 34¢·100 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $34 · WR 60.1%
1
101456
Entry 2¢·1,593.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $32 · WR 55.9%
A
anatoly.rektovenkohedged
Entry 35¢·50.3 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 56.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 17¢·104.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 65.1%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 16¢·100 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 74.2%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 11¢·129.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 59.7%
T
takertime
Entry 11¢·40 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 65.6%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.6K(+71.2%)
Whales
56
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 49¢·6,056.5 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3107
+$3107INV $2.9K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 58¢·4,878.6 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2068
+$2068INV $2.8K · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 54¢·4,755.6 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2172
+$2172INV $2.6K · WR 87.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 55¢·2,370.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1066
+$1066INV $1.3K · WR 79.2%
L
Lk7600
Entry 98¢·1,065 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.0K · WR 66.7%
F
fillit98◆Proven
Entry 50¢·2,002.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1001
+$1001INV $1.0K · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 62¢·1,502.1 shares
Invested
$933
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$569
+$569INV $933 · WR 79.6%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·1,294.3 shares
Invested
$647
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$647
+$647INV $647 · WR 85.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 89¢·445.8 shares
Invested
$398
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $398 · WR 85.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·540 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $270 · WR 69.2%
Showing top 10 of 56
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