YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$1.2K
87 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 48 traders
How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?
9 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Tesla deliver less than 375000 vehicles in Q3 2026
6¢—$420/0Will Tesla deliver less than 375000 vehicles in Q3 2026—6¢
$420/0
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q3 2026
17¢—$320/0Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q3 2026—17¢
$320/0
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q3 2026
7¢—$320/0Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q3 2026—7¢
$320/0
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026
9¢+41¢$481/1Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026+41¢9¢
$481/1
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026←
25¢+25¢$1.2K2/2Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026←+25¢25¢
$1.2K2/2
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026
45¢+55¢$7963/0Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026+55¢45¢
$7963/0
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026
13¢−13¢$2070/1Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026−13¢13¢
$2070/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$416+26 new NO$741
$141 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $577 is directional: YES $174·NO $403YES Team
Total Invested
$305
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$155(-50.7%)
Whales
6
L
Lk7600🥇
Entry 41¢·300 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $123 · WR 58.8%
F
FishHunter🥈
Entry 50¢·227 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $113 · WR 71.4%
A
Awesome-Colt-Bumper🥉
Entry 92¢·54.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $50 · WR 87.5%
A
agentcal
Entry 37¢·36.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $14 · WR 56.6%
4
0x4bf59e5c...
Entry 50¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 88.9%
E
0xeb18234e...
Entry 23¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$420
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$132(+31.4%)
Whales
7
S
Started-with-20-USD🥇
Entry 58¢·671.8 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $393 · WR 59.0%
G
GingerMcKenna🥈
Entry 50¢·33.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $17 · WR 85.3%
3
0x3f36e082...🥉
Entry 85¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
95.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 95.2%
4
0x4be1a3c0...
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 71.4%
A
0xa63d6d53...
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.9%
B
0xb2b16bdc...
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
F
0xfc01d98a...
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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