Polymarket wallet 0xeb18…3939

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xeb18…3939 has made 231 trades on Polymarket across 123 markets, $383 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%) and economics (10%). On 106 resolved markets the win rate is 56.6%, lifetime P&L +$14. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · $2 · 60¢ → 100¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes · $2 · 34¢ → 51¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 34¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 69¢ → 87¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · $1 · 48¢ → 58¢
• Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?No · $1 · 37¢ → 44¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No · $1 · 64¢ → 67¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 68¢ → 69¢
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 70¢ → 70¢
• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?No · $1 · 69¢ → 54¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.