Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$3.5K
169 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 69 traders
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
9 MARKETS · $36.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+21¢$1.8K2/7Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+21¢1¢
$1.8K2/7
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+32¢$2.4K5/10Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+32¢1¢
$2.4K5/10
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
97¢−68¢$3.5K7/17Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−68¢97¢
$3.5K7/17
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+26¢$2.0K5/14Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+26¢0¢
$2.0K5/14
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+54¢$3.2K7/6Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+54¢0¢
$3.2K7/6
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+9¢$2.6K1/10Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+9¢0¢
$2.6K1/10
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+10¢$1.8K1/9Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+10¢0¢
$1.8K1/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs21 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$806+20 new NO$34
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $447 is directional: YES $357·NO $90YES Team
Total Invested
$396
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$396(+100.0%)
Whales
9
P
PredictionYogi🥇
Entry 99¢·199.3 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $196 · WR 77.7%
K
KiruaTrading🥈
Entry 60¢·114.6 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $68 · WR 61.5%
G
Gemini123🥉hedged
Entry 46¢·75 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $35 · WR 85.4%
D
DJBLAK
Entry 22¢·134.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $29 · WR 73.1%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 65¢·42.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $28 · WR 86.8%
J
joe48691
Entry 14¢·191.3 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $26 · WR 67.5%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 16¢·29 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $5 · WR 73.1%
A
Adventurous-Magnet
Entry 92¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$493
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$408(-82.7%)
Whales
21
P
Pricey-Million🥇
Entry 52¢·153.7 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $81 · WR 59.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $80 · WR 85.9%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant🥉
Entry 48¢·137 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $66 · WR 55.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·120.1 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $60 · WR 79.2%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 77¢·33.5 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $26 · WR 59.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·48.1 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $24 · WR 59.6%
G
Gemini123hedged
Entry 31¢·75 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 85.4%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·42 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $21 · WR 56.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·40.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 59.8%
W
Warped-Follower
Entry 84¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 80.0%
Showing top 10 of 21
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