YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$1.9K
107 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 37 traders
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
9 MARKETS · $35.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+21¢$1.8K2/7Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+21¢1¢
$1.8K2/7
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+32¢$2.4K5/10Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+32¢1¢
$2.4K5/10
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
94¢−65¢$2.8K7/17Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide−65¢94¢
$2.8K7/17
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
7¢+19¢$1.9K5/14Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←+19¢7¢
$1.9K5/14
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+54¢$3.2K7/6Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+54¢0¢
$3.2K7/6
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+8¢$2.2K1/10Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+8¢1¢
$2.2K1/10
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+10¢$1.8K1/9Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+10¢0¢
$1.8K1/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs14 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$359+12 new NO$430
$172 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $154 is directional: YES $111·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$61(-45.5%)
Whales
5
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 27¢·295.7 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $81 · WR 61.5%
C
CryptoOG-846🥈hedged
Entry 82¢·28.1 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $23 · WR 63.5%
J
joe48691🥉
Entry 13¢·168.6 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 67.5%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 16¢·46 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 73.1%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$329
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$227(+69.0%)
Whales
14
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 52¢·150 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $79 · WR 85.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥈
Entry 69¢·91 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $63 · WR 59.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 50¢·104.1 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $52 · WR 79.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 53¢·67.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $35 · WR 59.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·40.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 59.6%
T
TemuOracle
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 82.3%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 89¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 59.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 84¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 59.8%
C
CryptoOG-846hedged
Entry 19¢·36.2 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $7 · WR 63.5%
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