YES Price
82¢
82% implied
NO Price
18¢
18% implied
Volume
$2.7K
136 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 50 traders
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
9 MARKETS · $34.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+19¢$1.8K2/8Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+19¢1¢
$1.8K2/8
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+8¢$2.4K1/10Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+8¢1¢
$2.4K1/10
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
82¢−63¢$2.7K3/13Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−63¢82¢
$2.7K3/13
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
14¢+7¢$1.7K3/11Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+7¢14¢
$1.7K3/11
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+42¢$3.2K5/7Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+42¢0¢
$3.2K5/7
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+17¢$2.2K2/9Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+17¢1¢
$2.2K2/9
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+10¢$1.8K1/9Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+10¢0¢
$1.8K1/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs16 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$563+14 new NO$695
$370 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $254 is directional: YES $156·NO $98YES Team
Total Invested
$190
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$287(+151.0%)
Whales
6
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 59¢·113.7 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $68 · WR 61.5%
G
Gemini123🥈hedged
Entry 46¢·75 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $35 · WR 85.4%
D
DJBLAK🥉
Entry 22¢·134.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $29 · WR 73.1%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 65¢·42.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $28 · WR 86.8%
J
joe48691
Entry 14¢·191.3 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $26 · WR 67.5%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 16¢·29 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $5 · WR 73.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$313
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$201(-64.0%)
Whales
16
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $80 · WR 85.9%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant🥈
Entry 78¢·82.4 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $64 · WR 55.3%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 58¢·47.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $28 · WR 59.8%
G
Gemini123hedged
Entry 31¢·75 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $24 · WR 85.4%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·42 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $21 · WR 56.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·40.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $20 · WR 59.8%
W
Warped-Follower
Entry 84¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $16 · WR 80.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 · WR 66.9%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 91¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 59.6%
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