YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.4K
114 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 47 traders
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
9 MARKETS · $35.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+21¢$1.8K2/7Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+21¢1¢
$1.8K2/7
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
1¢+32¢$2.4K5/10Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide←+32¢1¢
$2.4K5/10
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
96¢−67¢$2.9K7/17Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide−67¢96¢
$2.9K7/17
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
2¢+24¢$1.9K5/14Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+24¢2¢
$1.9K5/14
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+54¢$3.2K7/6Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+54¢0¢
$3.2K7/6
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+8¢$2.2K1/10Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+8¢1¢
$2.2K1/10
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+10¢$1.8K1/9Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+10¢0¢
$1.8K1/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$305+13 new NO$1.4K
$413 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $123 is directional: YES $33·NO $90YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-79.8%)
Whales
5
K
KickstandBot🥇
Entry 28¢·85 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $24 · WR 66.2%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant🥈
Entry 11¢·60.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 55.2%
G
gotonetry33🥉hedged
Entry 15¢·40 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 80.4%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 14¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 86.8%
C
0xccd1f3df...
Entry 5¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$294
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$214(+72.7%)
Whales
10
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 91¢·98.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $89 · WR 61.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $80 · WR 85.9%
P
Pricey-Million🥉
Entry 50¢·91 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $45 · WR 59.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·42 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $21 · WR 59.8%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 68.9%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·38.5 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $19 · WR 59.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 75¢·16 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $12 · WR 79.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 82.9%
G
gotonetry33hedged
Entry 5¢·40 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $2 · WR 80.4%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 89¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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