1 days left
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$7.9K
312 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 73 traders
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
9 MARKETS · $34.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+19¢$1.8K2/8Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+19¢1¢
$1.8K2/8
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+8¢$2.4K1/10Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+8¢1¢
$2.4K1/10
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
82¢−63¢$2.7K3/13Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide−63¢82¢
$2.7K3/13
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
14¢+7¢$1.7K3/11Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+7¢14¢
$1.7K3/11
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+42¢$3.2K5/7Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+42¢0¢
$3.2K5/7
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+17¢$2.2K2/9Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+17¢1¢
$2.2K2/9
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+10¢$1.8K1/9Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide+10¢0¢
$1.8K1/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs21 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$384+15 new NO$678
$346 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $174 is directional: YES $111·NO $63YES Team
Total Invested
$114
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$87(-76.9%)
Whales
5
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 34¢·188.9 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $64 · WR 61.5%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant🥈
Entry 54¢·80.5 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $44 · WR 55.3%
C
cloverpmq2🥉hedged
Entry 14¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 57.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 6¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 55.3%
C
0xccd1f3df...
Entry 5¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 60.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$318
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$293(+92.1%)
Whales
21
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 58¢·90 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $52 · WR 85.9%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥈
Entry 50¢·91 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $45 · WR 59.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 62¢·60 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $37 · WR 79.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 54¢·47.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $25 · WR 59.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·38.5 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $19 · WR 59.4%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 84¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 59.7%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 57.5%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 90¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 86.8%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 45¢·30 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $13 · WR 66.2%
G
Gemini123
Entry 25¢·50 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $13 · WR 85.4%
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