yarrro · Polymarket wallet 0x4454…f6bf

Wallet snapshot

yarrro has made 6,041 trades on Polymarket across 668 markets, $128K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (38%) and politics (19%). On 591 resolved markets the win rate is 75.5%, lifetime P&L -$3,580. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $325 · 87¢ → 93¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No · $259 · 59¢ → 70¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No · $249 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No · $243 · 78¢ → 79¢
• Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?No · $224 · 92¢ → 90¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $215 · 62¢ → 83¢
• GTA VI released by November 30?Yes · $169 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $124 · 87¢ → 89¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes · $118 · 69¢ → 99¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $95 · 87¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes · -$10 · Nov 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?No · -$12 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No · -$69 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$34 · Nov 13, 2026
• US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoYes · -$26 · Nov 13, 2026
• Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan KumstatYes · -$53 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.