hezuohuoban · Polymarket wallet 0x411a…5a86

−$262 lifetime P&L · 56.3% win rate · 48 resolved markets · 0x411ade8db19dbc7ede2731f22ac54c5c8e515a86

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Wallet snapshot

hezuohuoban has made 928 trades on Polymarket across 63 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and politics (24%). On 48 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%, lifetime P&L -$262. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $752 · 88¢ → 90¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $291 · 92¢ → 97¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?No · $234 · 4¢ → 4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $193 · 87¢ → 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $185 · 95¢ → 99¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes · $103 · 89¢ → 98¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes · $77 · 2¢ → 2¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · $59 · 2¢ → 2¢
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?No · $52 · 99¢ → 100¢
Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?No · $24 · 93¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes · -$9 · Oct 15, 2026
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$15 · Oct 15, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$85 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$61 · Sep 22, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · Sep 16, 2026

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