Politics22 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$555.3K
674 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 137 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
3 MARKETS · $1.05M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate
6¢+44¢$195.3K17/17Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate+44¢6¢
$195.3K17/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs28 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+47 new YES$11.4K+62 new NO$325.6K
$10.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 22 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$434 of $65.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.7K·NO $60.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$30.2K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$22.3K(-73.9%)
Whales
20
P
pilipro3🥇
Entry 90¢·26,505.9 shares
Invested
$23.7K
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-22337
$-22337INV $23.7K · WR 71.2%
B
betwick◆Proven🥈
Entry 4¢·101,818.1 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$884
+$884INV $4.5K · WR 59.8%
A
Antony82🥉
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-447
$-447INV $500 · WR 61.7%
0
0561
Entry 95¢·500 shares
Invested
$477
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-451
$-451INV $477 · WR 74.1%
C
classifiedhedged
Entry 4¢·5,863.4 shares·also $9.5K on NO
Invested
$217
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $217 · WR 82.7%
C
Car
Entry 5¢·3,519.9 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $179 · WR 64.9%
G
glhfgghedged
Entry 8¢·2,232.3 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$177
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $177 · WR 71.4%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 5¢·1,262 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $62 · WR 61.9%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 6¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $58 · WR 84.8%
L
Lucky-Cet
Entry 7¢·403 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $27 · WR 61.0%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$95.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$503(-0.5%)
Whales
28
D
Dragontree◆Proven🥇
Entry 95¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$19.0K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $19.0K · WR 67.4%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 95¢·13,374.4 shares
Invested
$12.8K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $12.8K · WR 61.8%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥉
Entry 95¢·11,111 shares
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $10.6K · WR 58.8%
M
MisTKy
Entry 96¢·10,470.8 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $10.0K · WR 71.3%
C
classifiedhedged
Entry 95¢·9,975.6 shares·also $217 on YES
Invested
$9.5K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $9.5K · WR 82.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 96¢·8,898 shares
Invested
$8.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $8.5K · WR 57.7%
2
20260601
Entry 96¢·6,786 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $6.5K · WR 64.4%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 96¢·5,500 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $5.3K · WR 74.2%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 95¢·5,250 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5.0K · WR 64.4%
G
glhfgghedged
Entry 96¢·2,232.3 shares·also $177 on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $2.1K · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 28
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