dsfd3 · Polymarket wallet 0x407d…52fd

Wallet snapshot

dsfd3 has made 9,089 trades on Polymarket across 978 markets, $8,558 in volume. Most of it is in economics (17%) and geopolitics (12%). On 627 resolved markets the win rate is 15.9%, lifetime P&L -$106. It holds 278 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?". Last trade: Sep 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes · $536 · 77¢ → 94¢
• Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes · $531 · 54¢ → 92¢
• Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes · $434 · 40¢ → 70¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $255 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes · $102 · 20¢ → 32¢
• Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes · $98 · 58¢ → 52¢
• Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes · $96 · 38¢ → 16¢
• Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes · $92 · 81¢ → 88¢
• Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes · $88 · 37¢ → 84¢
• Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes · $85 · 1¢ → 27¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Commanders win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes · +$40 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · +$2 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes · +$18 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · +$19 · Nov 6, 2026
• Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes · +$5 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.