Geopolitics261 days left
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$38.3K
1,348 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 209 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $138.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+6¢$3.5K1/16Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+6¢0¢
$3.5K1/16
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+14¢$6.5K3/18Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+14¢0¢
$6.5K3/18
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+28¢$4.9K5/13Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+28¢0¢
$4.9K5/13
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
7¢+25¢$36.5K14/30Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+25¢7¢
$36.5K14/30
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Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs27 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $2.3K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+42.9%)
Whales
9
M
michi1🥇
Entry 36¢·6,241.3 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$914
+$914INV $2.2K · WR 66.7%
K
kupoz🥈
Entry 26¢·1,210.2 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$293
+$293INV $318 · WR 84.3%
A
Aggggaa12🥉
Entry 27¢·79 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $21 · WR 72.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 15¢·100 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $15 · WR 69.8%
E
Exotic-Scholarhedged
Entry 28¢·53.4 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $15 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 5 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-1.1%)
Whales
27
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·1,531 shares
Invested
$768
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $768 · WR 63.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 57¢·1,068.3 shares
Invested
$605
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $605 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 63¢·462 shares
Invested
$291
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $291 · WR 86.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 52¢·531.5 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $279 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·516.9 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $273 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 47¢·574 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $267 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·250 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $132 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 39¢·314.2 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $123 · WR 88.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 36¢·270 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $98 · WR 85.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 67¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $95 · WR 79.2%
Showing top 10 of 27
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