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Resolved

Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.5K
322 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 92 traders

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

4 MARKETS · $40.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs6 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%
+5 new YES$904+8 new NO$6
3 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$417
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$18(+4.4%)
Whales
5
2
0x26b16660...🥇
Entry 100¢·382.6 shares
+$0INV $382 · WR 62.9%
T
thanksforplayin🥈
Entry 64¢·47.5 shares
+$17INV $31 · WR 55.7%
P
phcrux1🥉
Entry 28¢·7 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.0%
K
kakprotrades
Entry 99¢·1.5 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.0%
M
MoneyMaker-hedged
Entry 72¢·1.2 shares·also $0 on NO
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Democrats win exactly 4 House seats…