Resolved
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$16.5K
636 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 184 traders
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
2 MARKETS · $21.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs27 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 100¢
YES 10%NO 90%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 100¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $35 is directional: YES $0·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$561
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+333.1%)
Whales
3
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 24¢·2,300.6 shares
Invested
$545
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1755
+$1755INV $545 · WR 71.9%
L
lpgb🥈hedged
Entry 22¢·53.8 shares·also $91 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $12 · WR 72.0%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥉
Entry 6¢·76 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $4 · WR 60.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-99.2%)
Whales
27
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 76¢·708.4 shares
Invested
$539
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-539
$-539INV $539 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 89¢·150.7 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $134 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 60¢·212.8 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $128 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 71¢·137.9 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $98 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 48¢·195.5 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $94 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 56¢·165 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $93 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 84¢·108.4 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$91
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $91 · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 91¢·78.6 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 70.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 58¢·102 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $59 · WR 87.9%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 43¢·110.9 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 61.0%
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