Advanced-Muscatel · Polymarket wallet 0x3e0a…342d

Wallet snapshot

Advanced-Muscatel has made 154 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and sports (5%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 93.3%, lifetime P&L +$3,004. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $4,308 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $1,969 · 89¢ → 90¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $1,451 · 72¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $954 · 90¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes · +$199 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes · +$144 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes · +$278 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes · +$248 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes · +$236 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes · +$573 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes · +$273 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No · +$209 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes · -$378 · Mar 26, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No · +$27 · Mar 26, 2026

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