arbmesh · Polymarket wallet 0x1f6f…6b57

+$18 lifetime P&L · 76.5% win rate · 17 resolved markets · 0x1f6f0e5a664b89a835e31322053a3253fb166b57

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Wallet snapshot

arbmesh has made 723 trades on Polymarket across 57 markets, $4,279 in volume. Most of it is in politics (97%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 76.5%, lifetime P&L +$18. It holds 25 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No · $61 · 66¢ → 64¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $40 · 66¢ → 67¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $40 · 81¢ → 99¢
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $39 · 32¢ → 99¢
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?No · $38 · 69¢ → 67¢
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?No · $35 · 62¢ → 63¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $30 · 66¢ → 67¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · $21 · 33¢ → 35¢
Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · $13 · 64¢ → 69¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · $13 · 31¢ → 31¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 28, 2026
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 28, 2026
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$1 · Oct 28, 2026
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · +$0 · Oct 27, 2026
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · -$0 · Oct 27, 2026

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