Politics18 days left
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$25.9K
135 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 45 traders
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
2 MARKETS · $65.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs5 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$126+3 new NO$1.1K
$136 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $624 is directional: YES $0·NO $624YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$648(-14.0%)
Whales
4
W
whig◆Proven🥇
Entry 58¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-726
$-726INV $1.7K · WR 63.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 32¢·4,426.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $1.4K · WR 69.3%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant🥉hedged
Entry 31¢·3,859.4 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $1.2K · WR 65.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·589.9 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $295 · WR 72.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-0.9%)
Whales
5
S
SquirrelTheMerchant🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·3,372.9 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2.2K · WR 65.0%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 69¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$692
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $692 · WR 60.4%
S
ScottyNooo🥉
Entry 67¢·555 shares
Invested
$372
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $372 · WR 55.9%
C
Car
Entry 68¢·373.5 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $253 · WR 65.0%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 72¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 55.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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