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Politics21 days left

Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$21.6K
73 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 34 traders

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

2 MARKETS · $45.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$8.4K+25 new NO$11.2K
$9.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $473·NO $1.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$798(-36.2%)
Whales
4
W
whigProven🥇
Entry 58¢·3,000 shares
$-795INV $1.7K · WR 63.1%
P
puravida🥈
Entry 31¢·1,000 shares
—INV $313 · WR 59.9%
R
rainbowlilies🥉
Entry 32¢·500 shares
$-3INV $160 · WR 84.8%
7
77bCcPrd2uGwhedged
Entry 32¢·5 shares·also $3 on NO
$-0INV $2 · WR 62.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: there be no Hormuz agreement…