Polymarket wallet 0x1544…38ef

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1544…38ef has made 615 trades on Polymarket across 69 markets, $3,138 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and politics (12%). On 60 resolved markets the win rate is 63.3%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Aug 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $59 · 80¢ → 44¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $45 · 86¢ → 97¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · $17 · 93¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Yes · -$0 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes · +$28 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes · +$1 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Yes · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$12 · Jul 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.