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Geopolitics80 days left

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
80¢
80% implied
NO Price
20¢
20% implied
Volume
$24.7K
1,140 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 244 traders · 1 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

4 MARKETS · $197.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

41 YESvs25 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 35 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$1.1K+13 new NO$194
$128 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $9.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $8.4K·NO $807
YES Team
Total Invested
$8.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$450(-5.3%)
Whales
41
T
tsybka🥇
Entry 86¢·3,125 shares
$-281INV $2.7K · WR 86.0%
M
Mahnic🥈
Entry 86¢·993.1 shares
$-83INV $852 · WR 60.5%
R
Raskell🥉
Entry 79¢·995.4 shares
$-14INV $785 · WR 62.8%
C
controlsProven
Entry 79¢·660.2 shares
$-9INV $520 · WR 72.2%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 83¢·570 shares
$-30INV $472 · WR 64.4%
G
Gluckyklucky
Entry 82¢·545.1 shares
$-23INV $445 · WR 81.5%
N
nonkenny90Proven
Entry 79¢·546.4 shares
$-8INV $431 · WR 90.9%
C
Car
Entry 84¢·400 shares
$-25INV $335 · WR 64.9%
M
Monumental-Injustice
Entry 84¢·300 shares
$-20INV $252 · WR 69.2%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 84¢·300 shares
$-19INV $251 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 41

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 62% YES: Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic…