John.Gault · Polymarket wallet 0x8fa0…72d6

Wallet snapshot

John.Gault has made 482 trades on Polymarket across 160 markets, $40K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (74%) and politics (9%). On 124 resolved markets the win rate is 67.7%, lifetime P&L +$4,170. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $374 · 88¢ → 94¢
• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No · $193 · 25¢ → 81¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $191 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · $187 · 86¢ → 94¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No · $183 · 87¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?No · $175 · 65¢ → 88¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No · $162 · 49¢ → 19¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $97 · 76¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No · $96 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo · $96 · 90¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No · +$48 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$19 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?No · +$22 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?No · +$33 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?No · +$12 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.