Geopolitics85 days left
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$25.5K
927 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 224 traders
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
3 MARKETS · $130.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
38 YESvs21 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$1.2K+14 new NO$180
$87 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.3K is directional: YES $6.8K·NO $539YES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$164(+2.3%)
Whales
38
T
tsybka🥇
Entry 87¢·2,804.1 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $2.5K · WR 86.0%
M
Mahnic🥈
Entry 86¢·993.1 shares
Invested
$852
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $852 · WR 61.3%
C
controls◆Proven🥉
Entry 79¢·660.2 shares
Invested
$521
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $521 · WR 72.2%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 79¢·546.4 shares
Invested
$431
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $431 · WR 90.8%
R
Raskell
Entry 79¢·495.4 shares
Invested
$390
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $390 · WR 62.1%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 82¢·433.8 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$357
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $357 · WR 66.9%
C
Car
Entry 84¢·400 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $335 · WR 64.9%
M
Monumental-Injustice
Entry 84¢·300 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $252 · WR 68.6%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 84¢·300 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $251 · WR 56.9%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 85¢·200 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $169 · WR 64.3%
Showing top 10 of 38
NO Team
Total Invested
$845
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-6.5%)
Whales
21
T
trx1🥇
Entry 16¢·1,256 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $206 · WR 64.5%
S
Sparse-Footstep🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·179.4 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$152
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $152 · WR 58.5%
D
Drunken-Mentat🥉
Entry 10¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $100 · WR 75.4%
F
F00Fi
Entry 14¢·420.8 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $61 · WR 71.9%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 10¢·539 shares·also $357 on YES
Invested
$54
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $54 · WR 66.9%
8
0x889779ef...
Entry 19¢·265 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $50 · WR 75.0%
J
John.Gault
Entry 16¢·200 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $32 · WR 67.5%
M
mgt93
Entry 21¢·113.8 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $24 · WR 90.0%
R
Royal-Flush
Entry 21¢·100 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $21 · WR 72.4%
M
Minecraftboy22
Entry 16¢·122.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 59.0%
Showing top 10 of 21
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