gusgusg · Polymarket wallet 0x0e2c…9294

Wallet snapshot

gusgusg has made 13,678 trades on Polymarket across 364 markets, $312K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (65%) and politics (12%). On 288 resolved markets the win rate is 63.2%, lifetime P&L +$2,424. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1,552 · 73¢ → 85¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $626 · 68¢ → 73¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $371 · 72¢ → 95¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $212 · 83¢ → 79¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes · $78 · 36¢ → 37¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No · $66 · 85¢ → 86¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $66 · 51¢ → 48¢
• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $62 · 64¢ → 69¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $43 · 79¢ → 81¢
• Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes · $39 · 20¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · -$2 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$38 · Oct 9, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 9, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

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