Simplistic-Breastplate · Polymarket wallet 0x01c9…39b2

Wallet snapshot

Simplistic-Breastplate has made 59 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $59 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (15%). On 31 resolved markets the win rate is 90.3%, lifetime P&L +$7. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Natural Disaster in 2026?". Last trade: Aug 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Natural Disaster in 2026?No · $1 · 76¢ → 90¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $1 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1 · 88¢ → 98¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 84¢
• Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes · $1 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No · $1 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 69¢ → 68¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes · +$1 · Aug 3, 2026
• Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes · +$0 · Apr 13, 2026
• Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 12, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No · +$1 · Apr 12, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?

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