170 days left

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$9.7K
352 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 103 traders

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs7 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $1.5K·NO $84

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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