chrispike2 · Polymarket wallet 0x81d1…15de

Wallet snapshot

chrispike2 has made 150 trades on Polymarket across 70 markets, $2,201 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (49%) and economics (29%). On 56 resolved markets the win rate is 64.3%. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Aug 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $54 · 47¢ → 86¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $25 · 79¢ → 99¢
• Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes · $21 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $11 · 85¢ → 95¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes · $10 · 11¢ → 10¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes · $6 · 85¢ → 94¢
• Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes · $5 · 7¢ → 7¢
• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes · $4 · 15¢ → 2¢
• Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes · $2 · 27¢ → 11¢
• Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes · $2 · 19¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$5 · Oct 6, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No · +$4 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No · +$0 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Yes · +$15 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?Yes · -$5 · Sep 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.