170 days left
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$36.2K
1,119 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 199 traders
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
22¢+10¢$500.9K29/61Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+10¢22¢
$500.9K29/61
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026
49¢−11¢$275.4K27/44Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026−11¢49¢
$275.4K27/44
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
9¢+14¢$46.5K13/43Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+14¢9¢
$46.5K13/43
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
9¢+12¢$32.4K10/38Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+12¢9¢
$32.4K10/38
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Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs45 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $86 is directional: YES $11·NO $74YES Team
Total Invested
$281
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$253(-89.9%)
Whales
19
D
DEGENKHAN🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·177 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$176
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-176
$-176INV $176 · WR 66.6%
1
1walrus🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·60 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $53 · WR 65.1%
M
MistahFox🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·106 shares·also $101 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 85.4%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10¢·62 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 89.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 2¢·203.3 shares·also $664 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 57.7%
H
haruk098
Entry 3¢·135 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 76.0%
N
Nik-hedged
Entry 2¢·70.9 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 88.5%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 3¢·22 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 0¢·21 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 80.1%
K
k1tten
Entry 0¢·8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 82.8%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+36.2%)
Whales
45
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 96¢·3,553.8 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$127
+$127INV $3.4K · WR 85.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 95¢·696.2 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$664
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $664 · WR 57.7%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 97¢·642.3 shares
Invested
$625
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $625 · WR 69.2%
R
rated
Entry 60¢·533.3 shares
Invested
$321
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$211
+$211INV $321 · WR 87.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 99¢·275 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $273 · WR 83.8%
P
products
Entry 99¢·257.5 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $256 · WR 86.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·110 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $110 · WR 79.6%
M
MistahFoxhedged
Entry 95¢·106 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$101
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $101 · WR 85.4%
N
Nik-hedged
Entry 96¢·70.9 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $68 · WR 88.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 100¢·58.9 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $59 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 45
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