Geopolitics87 days left
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$189.4K
2,470 trades
Smart Whales
61
of 680 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $973.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
16¢+25¢$420.6K32/47Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+25¢16¢
$420.6K32/47
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←
56¢−19¢$189.4K23/39Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←−19¢56¢
$189.4K23/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs39 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$8+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$21 of $4.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $244YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.8K(+146.2%)
Whales
23
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥇
Entry 26¢·6,492 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1874
+$1874INV $1.7K · WR 66.6%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥈
Entry 17¢·8,698.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$3224
+$3224INV $1.5K · WR 60.2%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥉
Entry 22¢·5,008.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1609
+$1609INV $1.1K · WR 69.4%
E
Experienced-Specialist
Entry 62¢·161.1 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $100 · WR 78.3%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 49¢·107.3 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $53 · WR 73.1%
A
alex1734
Entry 76¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $38 · WR 64.3%
M
MAGA-2026
Entry 80¢·44.9 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $36 · WR 78.2%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $34 · WR 81.6%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 64¢·38.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 69.9%
M
Malakha
Entry 52¢·38.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+38.7%)
Whales
39
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 25¢·6,287.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1149
+$1149INV $1.6K · WR 57.7%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 36¢·1,487.6 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $536 · WR 85.8%
R
rated🥉
Entry 36¢·848 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $304 · WR 87.7%
5
5atka
Entry 82¢·200 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $163 · WR 57.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 47¢·204.1 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $95 · WR 87.6%
T
tttt123
Entry 76¢·100.9 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $77 · WR 69.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 54¢·79.1 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $43 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 56¢·60 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $34 · WR 87.7%
T
tsybka
Entry 31¢·100 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $31 · WR 86.0%
K
k1tten
Entry 27¢·70 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $19 · WR 82.8%
Showing top 10 of 39
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