Geopolitics88 days left
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$420.5K
2,878 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 751 traders · 3 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $973.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←
24¢+17¢$420.5K32/47Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←+17¢24¢
$420.5K32/47
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
53¢−16¢$189.4K23/39Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−16¢53¢
$189.4K23/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs46 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%
+4 new YES$26+1 new NO$28
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$92 of $3.8K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $2.6K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$398(+13.9%)
Whales
32
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 21¢·8,516.1 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$308
+$308INV $1.8K · WR 60.2%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥈
Entry 17¢·2,259 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $376 · WR 69.4%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥉
Entry 23¢·1,250.5 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $285 · WR 66.6%
E
EpicJaguarNoblehedged
Entry 76¢·177 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$135
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $135 · WR 58.1%
C
coshi
Entry 32¢·200 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $64 · WR 56.0%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 20¢·266.7 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $55 · WR 73.1%
L
lottonakamotohedged
Entry 27¢·163.1 shares·also $157 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 69.9%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $34 · WR 81.6%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 15¢·122.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $19 · WR 56.3%
M
Mohel
Entry 19¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 84.3%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+78.5%)
Whales
46
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 22¢·6,303.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3404
+$3404INV $1.4K · WR 57.7%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 66¢·1,508.5 shares
Invested
$992
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$161
+$161INV $992 · WR 85.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 86¢·846.8 shares
Invested
$724
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $724 · WR 68.2%
R
rated
Entry 66¢·847.8 shares
Invested
$559
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $559 · WR 87.7%
L
lottonakamotohedged
Entry 86¢·183.4 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$157
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $157 · WR 69.9%
T
tttt123
Entry 74¢·200 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $148 · WR 69.2%
5
5atka
Entry 74¢·119.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $89 · WR 57.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 42¢·204.1 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $86 · WR 87.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 52¢·154.3 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $80 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 85¢·75 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $64 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 46
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