Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$6.1K
177 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 86 traders
NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $44.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$190+2 new NO$2
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $305 is directional: YES $295·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$304
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$738(+242.7%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 73¢·284 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $207 · WR 57.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 14¢·639.6 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$533
+$533INV $89 · WR 62.1%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥉
Entry 6¢·138.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $9 · WR 62.2%
S
sweetj
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$726
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$703(-96.8%)
Whales
13
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 87¢·225.5 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-189
$-189INV $195 · WR 87.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 86¢·210 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $181 · WR 71.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 87¢·135 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $118 · WR 86.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 90¢·80 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $72 · WR 75.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $35 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $35 · WR 87.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $34 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 81¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 87.5%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 86¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 68.4%
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