Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$2.5K
109 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 65 traders
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $475 is directional: YES $22·NO $453YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-80.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$752
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$111(+14.8%)
Whales
10
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 86¢·526.9 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $453 · WR 62.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 73¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $97 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 95¢·50 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $48 · WR 88.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 97¢·42 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $41 · WR 88.6%
A
anciano
Entry 92¢·41.7 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $39 · WR 62.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 94¢·33.7 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $32 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 89¢·28 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 87.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 15¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 87.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 15¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.5%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1344ms