Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$7.0K
207 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 96 traders
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $153 is directional: YES $96·NO $57YES Team
Total Invested
$265
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+15.1%)
Whales
4
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 337¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $169 · WR 62.2%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 14¢·495.3 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $71 · WR 62.1%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 12¢·165.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $20 · WR 72.2%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 15¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $5 · WR 64.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$338
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$66(-19.6%)
Whales
12
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 77¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $102 · WR 86.1%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 54¢·89.8 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $48 · WR 57.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 84¢·41.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $35 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 78¢·43.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $34 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 52¢·52.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 90¢·28.8 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $26 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 85¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $18 · WR 86.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $17 · WR 71.7%
Q
quine-zyx
Entry 85¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 89.5%
R
Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination
Entry 94¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 77.3%
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