Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$5.7K
220 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 91 traders
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 79% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $157 is directional: YES $125·NO $32YES Team
Total Invested
$242
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$113(-46.6%)
Whales
5
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥇
Entry 574¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $118 · WR 62.2%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 84¢·100.6 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $85 · WR 57.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 22¢·94 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $21 · WR 72.2%
Q
quine-zyx
Entry 80¢·12.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 89.5%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 31¢·30 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 64.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$228
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-12.2%)
Whales
11
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 63¢·133.4 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $84 · WR 86.1%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 72¢·45 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $32 · WR 67.9%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 65¢·42 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $27 · WR 86.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 68¢·33.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $23 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 69¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 67¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $19 · WR 86.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 73¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 70¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 87.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 15¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $5 · WR 88.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $3 · WR 71.7%
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