Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.1K
164 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 76 traders
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-88.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$274
Avg Win Rate
85.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+13.4%)
Whales
9
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 91¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $122 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 91¢·42 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $38 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 83¢·36.2 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $30 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 83¢·33.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $28 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 78¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $23 · WR 87.5%
C
C.PM
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 82.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 95¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 88.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 26¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 86.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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