Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 50% or more?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$967
54 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 31 traders
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $9·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+66.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$340
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-1.4%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 99¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $132 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 98¢·42 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $41 · WR 87.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 77¢·43.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $33 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $33 · WR 79.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 86.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·28 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 100¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 77.6%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 84¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 60.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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