Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$9.0K
278 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 101 traders
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $58 is directional: YES $58·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$65
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-66.5%)
Whales
4
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 17¢·287 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $48 · WR 62.1%
A
Analyse24ResultsBefore🥈
Entry 10¢·74.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 62.2%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 12¢·45.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj
Entry 14¢·31 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$274
Avg Win Rate
86.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$43(+15.8%)
Whales
10
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 78¢·133.5 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $104 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 90¢·50 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $45 · WR 87.9%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 94¢·42 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 89.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 81¢·33.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $27 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 71¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $21 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 86¢·23.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 88.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 68¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 88.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 87.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 25¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 86.5%
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