Geopolitics77 days left
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$17.9K
276 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 84 traders · 2 on both sides
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $108.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$2.3K+31 new NO$10.0K
$2.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $0·NO $2.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$907
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$806(-88.9%)
Whales
4
L
laureman🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·544.9 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$498
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
$-443
$-443INV $498 · WR 90.8%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·433.7 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$407
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-363
$-363INV $407 · WR 57.7%
M
melonmanm🥉hedged
Entry 11¢·17 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 70.2%
P
PaddyAlphahedged
Entry 7¢·10 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+60.8%)
Whales
14
M
melonmanm🥇hedged
Entry 87¢·1,585 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.4K · WR 70.2%
T
tetrase🥈
Entry 91¢·575 shares
Invested
$522
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $522 · WR 73.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 90¢·400 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $362 · WR 57.6%
A
0xa24d776f...
Entry 17¢·1,260.2 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$920
+$920INV $214 · WR 90.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 92¢·196.8 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $181 · WR 70.5%
J
Jest55◆Proven
Entry 90¢·100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $90 · WR 83.3%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 14¢·500 shares·also $407 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$380
+$380INV $70 · WR 57.7%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 7¢·544.9 shares·also $498 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$451
+$451INV $40 · WR 90.8%
E
estuprador
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 89.7%
C
Crazykekbr
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 57.2%
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