estuprador · Polymarket wallet 0x22c2…9d56

Wallet snapshot

estuprador has made 1,992 trades on Polymarket across 234 markets, $605K in volume. Most of it is in politics (29%) and geopolitics (17%). On 213 resolved markets the win rate is 89.7%, lifetime P&L +$3,406. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "New pandemic in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• New pandemic in 2026?No · $6,652 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No · $4,525 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?No · $1,123 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $935 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes · $545 · 98¢ → 96¢
• Modi out by December 31, 2026?No · $475 · 93¢ → 95¢
• Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?No · $300 · 88¢ → 95¢
• Will Valve add first CS2 operation by October 31, 2026?No · $190 · 79¢ → 95¢
• Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No · $119 · 83¢ → 80¢
• Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?No · $97 · 88¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?Yes · +$6 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Oct 13, 2026
• Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?Yes · +$38 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$31 · Oct 10, 2026
• Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?

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