Geopolitics78 days left
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$4.3K
116 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 38 traders
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $84.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$389+32 new NO$3.9K
$669 of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $211 is directional: YES $2·NO $208YES Team
Total Invested
$909
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$822(-90.5%)
Whales
4
L
laureman🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·544.9 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$498
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
$-451
$-451INV $498 · WR 91.8%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·433.7 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$407
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-370
$-370INV $407 · WR 57.3%
P
PaddyAlpha🥉
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 68.2%
S
spxtesthedged
Entry 23¢·8.3 shares·also $179 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 55.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$529
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$850(+160.6%)
Whales
7
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥇
Entry 92¢·196.8 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $181 · WR 70.5%
S
spxtest🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·200 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$179
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $179 · WR 55.0%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 14¢·500 shares·also $407 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$388
+$388INV $70 · WR 57.3%
L
lauremanhedged
Entry 7¢·544.9 shares·also $498 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$459
+$459INV $40 · WR 91.8%
S
sdvwgw232qverw
Entry 92¢·35 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $32 · WR 68.9%
C
Crazykekbr
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 57.2%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 72.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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