Geopolitics78 days left
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$8.8K
218 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 76 traders
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $84.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+50 new YES$1.0K+52 new NO$7.5K
$959 of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $112·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$409
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$283(-69.1%)
Whales
3
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·322.5 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$297
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-267
$-267INV $297 · WR 57.3%
P
PaddyAlpha🥈
Entry 11¢·913.1 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $96 · WR 68.2%
C
cambridgeisaac🥉
Entry 10¢·150 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 57.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$498(+24.6%)
Whales
8
T
teIrose🥇
Entry 90¢·1,616.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1.5K · WR 73.7%
F
Faston🥈
Entry 91¢·300 shares
Invested
$274
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $274 · WR 55.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 89¢·112.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $100 · WR 57.6%
L
laureman
Entry 21¢·355.3 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$248
+$248INV $74 · WR 91.8%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 20¢·337.8 shares·also $297 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $68 · WR 57.3%
K
Konfucious
Entry 88¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 62.1%
C
Crazykekbr
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 57.2%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 72.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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