EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$17.4K
62 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 34 traders
Fed Interest Rates: May 2023
7 MARKETS · $13.62M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
18¢+36¢$7.77M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+36¢18¢
$7.77M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.48M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.48M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$776.0K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$776.0K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$420.2K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$420.2K14/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-100.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$225(+1.6%)
Whales
6
I
ImJustKen🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·10,779.3 shares·also $24 on YES
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $10.7K · WR 61.2%
S
Squee◆Proven🥈
Entry 97¢·2,045 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $2.0K · WR 69.5%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥉
Entry 97¢·1,467.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $1.4K · WR 58.8%
I
ihatemyself
Entry 97¢·250 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $243 · WR 69.3%
T
Talophex
Entry 98¢·100 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $98 · WR 91.6%
E
eyesonly
Entry 98¢·64.8 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $64 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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