Economics58 days left
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$80.0K
1,494 trades
Smart Whales
72
of 279 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
5 MARKETS · $248.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
66¢−31¢$54.2K24/44Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−31¢66¢
$54.2K24/44
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
22¢+8¢$54.2K18/42Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+8¢22¢
$54.2K18/42
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←
11¢+18¢$80.0K20/50Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←+18¢11¢
$80.0K20/50
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs53 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$162+15 new NO$908
$37 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$148 of $13.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6.5K·NO $7.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$11.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.4K(-63.6%)
Whales
20
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 25¢·15,816.8 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2392
$-2392INV $3.9K · WR 72.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 49¢·5,991.9 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2304
$-2304INV $2.9K · WR 69.2%
C
Champions26🥉
Entry 41¢·3,276.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1034
$-1034INV $1.3K · WR 62.3%
P
plumbishedged
Entry 61¢·1,913.6 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-974
$-974INV $1.2K · WR 67.0%
B
betwick◆Proven
Entry 36¢·1,906.7 shares
Invested
$682
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-501
$-501INV $682 · WR 59.8%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
96.6%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $375 · WR 96.6%
P
puravida
Entry 11¢·1,360.2 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $155 · WR 59.9%
Q
qcp2hedged
Entry 39¢·191.2 shares·also $89 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $74 · WR 65.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 11¢·370.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $41 · WR 87.7%
L
light.t
Entry 10¢·329 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $34 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.3K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.0K(+52.9%)
Whales
53
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥇
Entry 60¢·7,908 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$2393
+$2393INV $4.8K · WR 77.6%
P
plumbis🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·3,582.9 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$1023
+$1023INV $2.2K · WR 67.0%
L
lihpare🥉
Entry 76¢·1,232 shares
Invested
$940
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $940 · WR 80.8%
W
Wickier◆Proven
Entry 25¢·3,440.8 shares
Invested
$864
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$2215
+$2215INV $864 · WR 60.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 54¢·1,001.3 shares
Invested
$538
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$359
+$359INV $538 · WR 79.6%
M
merod
Entry 55¢·740 shares
Invested
$407
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$255
+$255INV $407 · WR 84.1%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 56¢·723.6 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$251
+$251INV $404 · WR 65.9%
S
Single-Challenge
Entry 88¢·385.7 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $338 · WR 65.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·613.9 shares
Invested
$316
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$234
+$234INV $316 · WR 85.9%
G
Geget44600
Entry 85¢·163 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $139 · WR 77.8%
Showing top 10 of 53
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