Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$17.8K
440 trades
Smart Whales
39
of 124 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $335.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs28 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$595+32 new NO$3.6K
$92 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $202 is directional: YES $107·NO $95YES Team
Total Invested
$107
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-10.8%)
Whales
11
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥇
Entry 6¢·816.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $51 · WR 62.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven🥈
Entry 5¢·500 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 69.9%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 8¢·179 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $15 · WR 75.3%
S
sweetj
Entry 3¢·120 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 74.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.7%
H
haraldNine
Entry 5¢·62 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 87.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·27.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 7¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 84.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·12.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 72.0%
D
Dunedain
Entry 2¢·37.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 60.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$934(+25.5%)
Whales
28
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 98¢·964.6 shares
Invested
$944
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $944 · WR 86.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 73¢·506 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $370 · WR 86.1%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 97¢·373.3 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $364 · WR 69.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·272.2 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $269 · WR 88.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 83¢·317 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $262 · WR 87.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 95¢·205 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $195 · WR 88.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 96¢·145 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $139 · WR 87.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 98¢·140 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $137 · WR 89.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 97¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $131 · WR 84.7%
T
Tysha
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $95 · WR 88.9%
Showing top 10 of 28
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