Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$52.0K
942 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 244 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $335.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs42 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+39 new YES$6.3K+59 new NO$11.1K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales24 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $2.0K·NO $977YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+5.0%)
Whales
25
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥇
Entry 38¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $379 · WR 62.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven🥈
Entry 35¢·903.1 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $313 · WR 69.9%
R
Runner109🥉
Entry 35¢·753.1 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $264 · WR 63.0%
I
Imbafer◆Proven
Entry 23¢·900 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $207 · WR 58.6%
S
sbimbg
Entry 27¢·632.6 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $171 · WR 71.9%
D
Dunedain
Entry 33¢·500 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $165 · WR 60.1%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11
Entry 82¢·199.8 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $164 · WR 100.0%
T
TheGreatBeta
Entry 50¢·181 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $91 · WR 91.0%
T
trashtier
Entry 35¢·200 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $70 · WR 63.2%
.
.brain.
Entry 25¢·250 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $63 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$205(-3.9%)
Whales
42
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 65¢·1,818.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $1.2K · WR 88.0%
G
Gdub🥈
Entry 66¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$792
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $792 · WR 70.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 75¢·1,004.6 shares
Invested
$755
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $755 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 77¢·506.4 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $391 · WR 72.0%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 68¢·378 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $258 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 71¢·355 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $251 · WR 88.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 72¢·242.2 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $175 · WR 87.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 77¢·213.6 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $164 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 71¢·190 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $134 · WR 88.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 79¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $106 · WR 84.7%
Showing top 10 of 42
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